New El-Nino - what will it do to our wind?

[more force 4]

Apparently another El Nino is coming http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... index.html. I understand we will be a little warmer and drier. Does that mean fewer SE? Any info?

[JL]

The first link I've added shows 'El nino' & 'La Nina' Models for us.Note the polar jet is way n. & east of us in 'El Nino' model but winter storms are reduced... this is looking like a kiters winter rather than last years parade of 35+ knot winds. I remember a 'la Nina' winter I called the 'Windy Bitch'. & that was before I knew about C.B. & pre B.W.D. site !!! Here are some links: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... nter.shtml http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... acts.shtml http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... anim.shtml http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ml#general

[Mattdog]

My gut is telling me doldrums for awhile. Anyone else?

[JL]

Here is a link for the latest on 'El-Nino' . Note the e-mail link to sign up for updates. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... o_advisory ' There is an increased probability of observing El Niño-related effects over North America during January-March 2007, including warmer-than-average temperatures over western and central Canada, and over the northern United States, wetter-than-average conditions over portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast and Florida, and drier-than-average conditions in the Ohio Valley and in portions of the Pacific Northwest." http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... sodisc.pdf

[JL]

Update: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ndex.shtml

[JL]

'La Nina' on the way ? http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... odisc.html http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ndex.shtml

[JL]

Possible 'La Nina' ?! This just in : http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... odisc.html

[voodmon]

well. i for one have my mistral pacifico, superfreak 6.3 and my paddle...hopefully....at least there will be waves somewhere....

[windcraver]

well the last time we had an el nino so did Vela in Baja, Mexico and in Feb we got rained on for 10 days out of 14 - it SUCKED...did I mention the flooding?

[JL]

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... odisc.html

[Martin]

Hi Jl,

La Nina, hmmmm..cooling in the tropical pacific.
But Al Gore said.........

Looks good for this winter in Baja though!

martin

[JL]

Al Gores personal empire (house travel etc) is enough to accelerate global warming. Never the less 'La Nina' is a short term event caused by immediate fluctuations in s. ocean temps. It's interesting that while Al Gores message is right for the time he NEVER vocalized his concerns whilst in political office. Wouldn't want to ruffle the feathers of corporate America while they are contributing $$$$$$ to 'democracy' !!!

[KUS]

even if your heart's in the right place ya gotta get the job first, JL

[JL]

Correct.

[more force 4]

Now I finally watched the movie this summer; seems to me he described starting up some of the Congressional committees and NOAA research that first had testimony/collected data on this several decades ago. I'd have to watch it again to be sure, but I'm not sure you've got the whole picture there Jl - sounds like spin doctors working to discredit are behind the rumour, and even if it were true you've got to give the guy credit for making it a topic the average American even talks about....

Son Roger was telling me that a lot of the monstrous houses at Whistler are actually pretty 'green', being build to heat/cool with geothermal. Seems like a good idea (but then I thought biodiesel and alchohol in the gas were good too when I first heard about them); has anyone ever calculated the carbon impact of running a drill rig to punch a few 400 ft deep holes compared to heating with oil? I would think over the life of a house it would be pretty good.