El Nino / La nina / Neutral
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JL
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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... disc.shtml El Niño is expected to form and continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2018-19 (~90% chance) and through spring (~60% chance).
Thermals are good.
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JL
- Posts: 2610
- Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
- Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
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65% of El Nino through Spring. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... disc.shtml
- Attachments
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- El Nino 2019.PNG (61.03 KiB) Viewed 8945 times
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- El nino map.PNG (256.42 KiB) Viewed 8943 times
Thermals are good.
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JL
- Posts: 2610
- Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
- Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
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Well we now know that the el-nino model of a warm Jan. to March can be interrupted by an extended arctic air outbreak complete with record snowfall 
Having said that here is the latest update: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtml
Having said that here is the latest update: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtml- Attachments
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- 3 month precip..gif (33.27 KiB) Viewed 8808 times
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- 3 month.gif (33.86 KiB) Viewed 8808 times
Thermals are good.
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JL
- Posts: 2610
- Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
- Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
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Synopsis: El Niño is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2019 (70% chance) and fall (55-60% chance). https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtml
Thermals are good.
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JL
- Posts: 2610
- Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
- Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
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- Contact:
El Niño is predicted to persist through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2019 (66% chance), with lower odds of continuing through the fall and winter (50-55% chance). https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtml 
Thermals are good.
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JL
- Posts: 2610
- Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
- Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
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A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month or two, with ENSO-neutral most likely to continue through Northern Hemisphere fall and winter. 
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtml
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtmlThermals are good.
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JL
- Posts: 2610
- Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
- Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
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El Niño has transitioned to ENSO-neutral, which is most likely to continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2019-20 (50-55% chance). https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtml
Thermals are good.
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JL
- Posts: 2610
- Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
- Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
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- Contact:
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtml ENSO-neutral is favored during the Northern Hemisphere fall 2019 (~75% chance), continuing through spring 2020 (55-60% chance).
Thermals are good.
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JL
- Posts: 2610
- Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
- Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
- Been thanked: 2 times
- Contact:
ENSO-neutral is favored during the Northern Hemisphere fall 2019 (~85% chance), continuing through spring 2020 (55-60% chance). https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtml
Thermals are good.
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JL
- Posts: 2610
- Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
- Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
- Been thanked: 2 times
- Contact:
ENSO-neutral is favored through Northern Hemisphere spring 2020 (~60% chance), continuing through summer 2020 (~50% chance). https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtml
Thermals are good.
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JL
- Posts: 2610
- Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
- Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
- Been thanked: 2 times
- Contact:
ENSO-neutral is favored through Northern Hemisphere spring 2020 (~60% chance), continuing through summer 2020 (~50% chance). ... https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... odisc.html https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/02/ ... -nada.html
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/02/ ... -nada.html- Attachments
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- Capture.PNG (61.79 KiB) Viewed 5366 times
Thermals are good.
